Fellow co-opted the list 20 days in advance of official non-disclosure to explain the mass speculation that

November 18, “Oriental Morning Post” report, circulated on the Internet Information Services, Chinese Academy of Sciences, “co-opted in 2009 Fellow of the results list”, said the real list will be announced next month…… “Anger!” A charge of print media, the scientific version of the editor can not find the second term, described the mood to see the official list.

This matter, time is the best logic.

November 12, the network appeared on a 2009 Chinese Academy of Sciences co-opted non-exhaustive list of the results. In this widely circulated list, co-opted academicians of 24. Remember this point in time.

November 18, “Oriental Morning Post” report, circulated on the Internet Information Services, Chinese Academy of Sciences, “co-opted in 2009 Fellow of the results list”, said the real list will be announced next month, online list should be a kind of “speculation and inference , “” may have a certain percentage of hits. ”

3 days later, the National Natural Science Foundation of Dr. Ren Shengli magazine on his blog the Chinese Academy of Sciences published a detailed list of the newly elected academician, a total of 35. Also remember this point in time.

Reveal mystery of the day is December 4. On this day, Chinese Academy of Sciences held a press conference in Beijing announced that the hospital in 2009 after fellow co-opted recommendation, publicity, communication, assessment, review meetings and other sectors, from the 296 valid candidates ultimately elected 35 new Fellows.

The time ordinate things, let us look at abscissa. Online the first list of 24 people, all at the press conference released by 35 person. Online second list of 35 people, and the final list published fit together well. The only small difference is that a different sort of official results to name stroke as a sequence.

It appears that the poster is indeed the network “very powerful”, “speculation and inference,” went so far as such accuracy. Grapevine “may have a certain hit rate”, the results hit the 10 ring. “Anger!” A charge of print media, the scientific version of the editor can not find the second term, described the mood to see the official list. A mathematical calculation of the lovers: the number of candidates to do the denominator, was elected to do the number of molecules in order to match faculty as an independent unit probability, the final disclosure of the P values obtained. Pvalue, 100%.

Chinese Academy of Sciences co-opted once every two years, each of not more than 60 people, co-option procedure, recommendation, qualification review, faculty review and Fellow of the election four stages. Can be described as such procedures are not unreasonable, the Constitution is nothing less than rigorous. In order to do security work, Chinese Academy of Sciences for the Academy co-opted specifically formulated the “Chinese Academy of Sciences co-opted the work of the confidentiality rules” and “co-opted the work of Chinese Academy of Sciences Academy Code of Conduct”, etc., is strictly prohibited academicians to candidates, friends, colleagues, and and co-opted staff to discuss and disclose work-related assessment, the electoral process in the discussion of candidates, evaluation, voting and so on.

But the lock this year, a variety of sources, or spread like wildfire, wind fluttering Sasa dandelion in general, and so far no one sector or a related party to the explanation and apology.

No way to know the truth can only be speculation about the masses:

Guess one, to the benefit of the doubt, this is only a mere leaks. Fellow co-opted the new completed November 21, some people hold herself back any joy out of the list will be revealed, and anyway this is an event.

Guess 2, Wang Shenchu think, if no other official announcement on the disclosure of the message, indicating the assessment of the electoral process can easily be “back door”, so that there is no justice and credibility to speak of, may be behind a number of unknown insider.

Guess three, why is “network full version” and the “official version” has nuances, much might be: “network full version” sort by number of votes, while the “official version” in alphabetical order.

Guess four, secret escape of at what stage? Numbers “ghost” is a fellow, or administrative staff? According to co-opt procedure, the final round is a Fellow of a secret ballot, the first to know the results of the vote must be a Fellow. Possible chain are: Academician A told B, B told C, C tells D … … At the end, insiders Dr. Ren release, so users can preview.

Guess guess … 5 … 6 … … This can be wrapped around people really like crossword puzzles.

CAS President Lu has been said: Fellow of the elections is a serious matter, we must stand the test of history, and only allow the process of open, in order to make the result fair.

We are more than in any field are more eager to see fair elections in the scientific community. Because for the public, there is no more natural than the name of scientific justification.

We hope to give science and technology spire of the group of people, “the highest academic title”, the every step of the fair, will not have all kinds of absurd social forces involvement and interference. Galileo said long ago: When the scientists have been intimidated by the powerful, science will become a rickets person.

Is not difficult to imagine the moment when the announced end of the list, elected at that instant joy, surprised expression, a fair election is the best appreciation. “Everything is a secret!” That is the biggest mystery of the Nobel Prize eternity.

Time is the best deodorant. We look forward to two years to get together again with the new Academy of Sciences. At that time, Chinese Academy of Sciences 62 years old, be able to do something more mature?

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